Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Kriminalitas di Kota Medan Menggunakan Metode Stepwise Forward

Abstract

Crime or criminality is rampant, crime is certainly influenced by various factors, both internal and external factors such as the number of population, the number of poor people, unemployment, the human development index (HDI), per capita expenditure, and the average length of schooling. To find out what factors affect the level of crime, the author uses the stepwise forward method. This method aims to reduce one by one the predictor variables that do not have a significant influence on the response variables until the desired estimation equation is obtained. The estimation obtained from this study is Y= −44842.779+422.423X2 where X2 is the number of poor people. The amount of variation explained by the estimator is 50.79%, so it can be concluded that the estimator model obtained is good enough to be used as estimator of the crime rate in Medan city.