Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Sektor Tersier Konstruksi Berdasarkan Sektor Primer dan Sekunder Menggunnakan Analisis Jalur

Abstract

Background: Structural transformation of the economy is a key factor in regional development, where the relationship between sectors determines the effectiveness of economic growth. Objective: This study aims to analyze the influence of the primary sector (agriculture and mining), as well as the secondary sector (manufacturing industry), and on the tertiary sector (construction) in North Sumatra. Method: This study uses path analysis with data on the growth rate of North Sumatra's ADHK GRDP for the period 2012-2023. The research variables include the agricultural, mining, processing industry, transportation & warehousing, and construction sectors. Results: The results of the analysis show that the processing industry has a significant direct influence on construction with a coefficient of 0.681. Transportation & Warehousing has a positive effect of 0.161 on construction. The primary sector (agriculture and mining) has an indirect influence through the processing industry. Conclusion: The growth of the construction sector in North Sumatra is greatly influenced by the development of the processing industry as a secondary sector, while the relationship with the primary sector still needs to be improved.