Analisis Pengaruh Pembangunan Jalan Tol terhadap Pengembangan UMKM dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Wilayah Kota Tebing Tinggi

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of the Medan–Tebing Tinggi toll road development on the development of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) and regional economic growth in Tebing Tinggi City. A quantitative approach was employed, supported by qualitative insights, using primary data from 120 MSME actors and secondary data on GRDP from 2020 to 2024. Regression analysis reveals that the toll road development does not have a statistically significant direct effect on regional economic growth (p-value 0.124), but has a significant influence on MSME development (p-value 0.002). Furthermore, MSME development contributes positively and significantly to economic growth (p-value 0.000), and this relationship is strengthened by the role of government policy as a moderating variable (interaction p-value 0.014). These findings suggest that infrastructure development does not automatically drive economic growth directly, but rather supports it indirectly through the enhancement of MSMEs when accompanied by effective local policy. Therefore, infrastructure planning must be aligned with strategies for strengthening the local economy to ensure inclusive and sustainable development.