Analisis Permintaan dan Penawaran Kentang di Provinsi Sumatra Utara

Abstract

BOANERGES P SIPAYUNG. Analysis determine the factor that influence the demand and supply of potatoes in North of Sumatra. Supervised by Prof. Kelin Tarigan, MS as a chairman and Dr.Ir. Rahmanta Ginting, M.Si as a member. The aim of this research is to analyze the factors that affect the demand of potatoes in North of Sumatra and analyze the factors that affect the supply of potatoes in North of Sumatra. The data that used is data time series two monthly starting from 2003 until 2012. The analytical method used is the linear multiple regression that used model OLS ( Ordinary Least Square) using eviews 8.0. The analysis of demand and supply of Potatoes in Province North of Sumatra can be used as model of demand and supply of potatoes in Province of North Sumatra. Data used in this study is time series data two monthly that started 2003 until 2012. Method of analysis used is linear multiple analysis with model OLS (Ordinary Least Square). The result of research as statistic and econometric can be used as model of supply and demand of potatoes in North Sumatra. All of the variable that used in this research are suitable with theory. The analysis indicated the price of potatoes, consumption of household, price of cassava and population take effect on demand of potatoes in North Sumatra significantly. The analysis of supply indicated price of potatoes, price of cassava and harvested area take effect on supply of potatoes in North Sumatra significantly

BOANERGES P SIPAYUNG. Analisis Permintaan dan Penawaran Kentang di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Dibimbing oleh Prof. Dr. Ir. Kelin Tarigan, MS dan Dr. Ir. Rahmanta Ginting, M.Si. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah menganalisis faktor- faktor yang mempengaruhi permintaan kentang di Provinsi Sumatra Utara dan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi penawaran kentang di Provinsi Sumatra Utara. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series per dua bulan dimulai dari tahun 2003 sampai 2012. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi berganda dengan model OLS ( Ordinary Least Square) Dari hasil estimasi permintaan dan penawaran secara statistik dan ekonometrik hasil regresi dapat digunakan sebagai model permintaan dan penawaran kentang di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Secara ekonomi semua variabel yang digunakan sesuai dengan teori. Hasil dari model permintaan bahwa harga kentang, konsumsi rumah tangga, harga ubi kayu dan jumlah penduduk berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan kentang di Provinsi Sumatra Utara. Hasil analisis penawaran bahwa harga kentang, harga ubi kayu dan luas panen berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penawaran kentang di Provinsi Sumatra Utara.