Analisis Penerimaan Pajak Daerah dan Pengeluaran Pemerintah terhadap Perekonomian Provinsi Sumatera Utara : Pendekatan Vactor Autoregression (VAR)

Abstract

Regional tax revenue and government expenditure are the instrument used by the government to increase regional economy. The objective of the research was to analyze the reciprocal correlation of regional tax revenue, local government apparatus expenditure, and public service expenditure with the economy of North Sumatera. The research was quantitative analytic with secondary data with the time series obtained from BPS (Central Bureau of Statistics) of Nort Sumatera. The data were analyzed by using Vector Autoregression (VAR) analysis with Impulse Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD). The result of the research, using lag 1, showed that there was the contribution of each variable to the variables themselves and to other variables.