Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Kopi Arabika (Coffea arabica) di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

Abstract

North Sumatra Arabica coffee which has been exported to various main destination countries fluctuated. There were years when North Sumatra coffee exports to these countries experienced increases or shrinkages. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of the destination country's GDP, the rupiah exchange rate, Arabica coffee production, Arabica coffee domestic prices and Arabica coffee international prices on Arabica coffee export volume in North Sumatra. The method used in this research is panel data regression analysis. The independent variables in this research are the GDP of the destination country, the rupiah exchange rate, Arabica coffee production, the domestic price of Arabica coffee and the international price of Arabica coffee, and the dependent variable is the export volume of Arabica coffee in North Sumatra. The panel data regression estimation model used in this study is the Common Effect Model. The results show that the variables GDP, nominal exchange rates, production, domestic prices, and international prices have an effect of 57.9% on the export volume of North Sumatra Arabica coffee. Simultaneously or together the variables GDP, nominal exchange rates, production, domestic prices, and international prices have a significant effect on the export volume variable of North Sumatra Arabica coffee. While partially the GDP, nominal exchange rate and domestic coffee prices have a positive and significant effect while the production and international price variables have a positive but not significant effect on the export volume variable of North Sumatra Arabica coffee.