Metode Pemulusan Eksponensial Ganda pada Peramalan Jumlah Produksi Jagung di Kabupaten Toba Samosir Tahun 2023

Abstract

Writing in this final project discusses how to predict the amount of production in 2023. Forecasting or forecasting is an activity in predicting or estimating what will happen in the future in a relatively long time. the data used is secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency of North Sumatra in 2013 to 2022. The method used in this forecasting is the One Parameter Exponential Smoothing Method from Brown. It can be concluded in this study that the forecast results for the amount of production in Toba Samosir Regency in 2023 have increased.