Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Deindustrialisasi di Indonesia

Abstract

This research is motivated by the trend of declining manufacturing performance and the level of labor absorption in industry over a certain period of time, which experts call a symptom of deindustrialization. This research aims to analyze the effect of decreasing the proportion of GRDP in the industrial/manufacturing sector which is influenced by Domestic Investment, FDI, income per capita and analyzing the moderation of the number of working people on the influence of Domestic Investment on the decline in the proportion of GRDP in the industrial/manufacturing sector, analyzing the moderation of the number of working people. on the influence of FDI on the decline in the proportion of GRDP in the industrial/manufacturing sector, analyzing the moderation in the number of working people on the influence of income per capita on the decline in the proportion of GRDP in the industrial/manufacturing sector for 34 provinces in Indonesia in the period 2002-2021 using the approach Fixed Effect Model (FEM) as a panel data regression model. In this research, the moderating test will be carried out using Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) which will be carried out with the help of Eviews software. Partial test results show that Domestic Investment has a positive and significant effect, FDI has a negative and significant effect, Income per capita has a negative and significant effect on the decline in the proportion of GRDP in the industrial/manufacturing sector, The number of employed people moderates the influence of Domestic Investment, The number of employed population moderates the influence of FDI, and The number of working people does not moderate the effect of per capita income on the decline in the proportion of GRDP in the manufacturing/industrial sector.