Penerapan Model Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) pada Kondisi Kependudukan serta Pemerataan Daerah Kota Medan

Abstract

A population is a group of individuals who join an area with the aim of settling. The number of residents in each region certainly has different numbers depending on the boundaries and maximum area of the area occupied. Limited territorial boundaries but the population is increasing every year, of course this is a problem for the community and regional government. In the research, the area that was the object of research was the city of Medan. In 2022, the Medan city area will be inhabited by 2,494,512 residents. The increasing number will be carried out by forecasting techniques using the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model. Testing starting from 2023 to 2032 resulted in the population of the city of Medan increasing with the largest number being in 2032, namely 2918786 people.