Pengaruh Pengangguran, Rasio Ketergantungan dan Kemiskinan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Produk Domestik Bruto di Indonesia

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the influence of unemployment, dependency ratio and poverty on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Indonesia in the context of the demographic transition during the 1990-2022 period. The demographic transition in Indonesia is marked by changes in the age structure of the population which have an impact on the country's economic dynamics. The research method used is Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), which allows analysis of short-term and long-term relationships between independent variables (unemployment, dependency ratio, and poverty) and the dependent variable (GDP). The results of this research also show that the independent variables (unemployment, dependency ratio, and poverty) have a significant effect on GDP in Indonesia both partially and simultaneously during the 1990-2022 period.