Analisis Daya Saing dan Faktor - Faktor yang Memengaruhi Volume Ekspor Bubuk Kayu Manis Indonesia ke Negara Tujuan Ekspor

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the cinnamon producer and exporter in the world. Cinnamon powder is the most exported cinnamon derivative commodity. The phenomenon of decreasing export volume of Indonesian cinnamon powder, has resulted in a decrease in Indonesia's market share due to increasingly competitive trade competition. This research aims to analyze the competitiveness of cinnamon powder and the factors that influence the export volume of Indonesian cinnamon powder. The analytical methods used in this research are Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Export Product Dynamics (EPD), X-Model, and panel data regression. The research results show that Indonesia has strong competitiveness, with value of RCA more than one and value of RSCA between 0 and 1. The EPD method shows the position of Rising Star in India, Sweden, Russia, and Estonia. Lost Opportunity in the United States, Netherlands, Vietnam, and Canada. While Retreat in France and Australia. The X-Model shows optimistic market development potential to India, Sweden, Russia, and Estonia. Potential market to the United States, Netherlands, Vietnam, and Canada. While less potential to France and Australia. The results of panel data regression show that export prices, competitor’s export prices, destination country exchange rates, production, and land area have a significant effect on the export volume of Indonesian cinnamon powder. Meanwhile, real GDP of the destination country and the population of the destination country have no significant impact on the export volume of Indonesian cinnamon powder.